Rain across QLD

After the four fogs in a row (6 at St. Lawrence) we got the rain Monday and Tuesday, followed by two fogs in a row Tuesday and Wednesday.

Farmer Steve and his mates were very happy after a month of dry weather.

A NorthWest Cloud Band (NWCB) started in the Kimberley 27/28th June with isolated falls of 150-200mm near Gibb River.

Headed east into the NT with record (over 80mm) July rainfall on the 1/2nd July (Sat/Sun). Even reaching the Alice and the Finke River.

It entered western Queensland Sunday/Monday with 114mm New May Downs (near Mt. Isa) around 80mm for Julia Creek/Winton to the Gulf.

Reaching the coast 3/4th July (Mon/Tue) with 30-40mm.

Even Birdsville/Windorah got 17mm and Longreach 44mm.

Here are some of the best totals (mm) showing the widespread nature across the state for the week

Babinda 151, Paluma 124, Kuranda 106, Lucinda 99,Mt. Isa 95, Mt. Sophia 91, Mackay AP 59, Barcaldine 53, Clermont 45, Tambo 44, Mt. Tambourine 42, Blackdown 40, Sunshine Coast 40, Coolangatta 39, Redcliffe 38, Havelock 38, Roma 34, Emerald 28, Morven 27, Rolleston 26, Toowoomba 25, Eulo 20, Hungerford 18, Dalby 18, Miles 17, Applethorpe 12. For Capricornia and surrounds – Kroombit Tops 72, Cedar Vale 65, Kenbula 49, Upper Ulam 48, Mornish 44, Yatton 42,Upper Dee 42, Goovigen 42, Rocky Ap 40 (Bishop St. 42, Lamington 41, Penlington 39, Brecknell 37, Norman Gnds 37, Frenchville 34, Parkhurst 33), Marlborough 39, Thangool 38, Callide Dam 37, Moura 33, Caves 33, Riverslea 33, Theodore 30, Banana 30, Springsure 30, Duaringa 28, Westwood 27, Boyne Island 26, Byfield 26, Yamba 24, Gladstone 21, The Glen 20, Taroom 19, Benaraby 17, Calliope 14.

The air feels a lot cleaner with the dust settled.

A good scenario for those farmers who planted early.

Some of the rain reached the plains and western Slopes of NSW with moderate to isolated heavy totals for the week.

Rutherglen 34mm, Glenfell 32mm, Forbes 28 and Tamworth 26mm were the best totals. Perisher recorded 34cm of good powdery snow.

Then northeast Victoria with light wintery drizzly rain for most of the state.

Wangaratta 24mm and Falls Creek 67mm with snow.

The SOI has jumped from -20 up to +2.2 with a rising trajectory.

Notice the Heat in the Northern Hemisphere is prompting an El Nino declaration from Asia/Europe/North America.

While we are in winter the SST over the northern Pacific is fractionally warmer, prompting thoughts of El Nino for the Southern Hemisphere summer.

If the SST continues to warm and the Trade Winds ease during spring then we may have a chance.

INTERNATIONAL

RUSSIA –

Lightning strikes in Siberia caused 110 Forest Fires and 61,000 hectares (almost the size of Rockhampton) burnt last Monday.

Last year’s fires killed a dozen people in Siberia.

The 2021 Fire Season set emission records with 18.8 million hectares destroyed as smoke reached the North Pole for the first time in recorded history.

CHINA –

Heavy downpours caused floods with 15 people killed and four missing in Chongqing southwest China Wednesday.

Over 85,000 people have been evacuated.

Officials are warning of multiple natural disasters in July with more floods.

The current Typhoon Season could cause massive winds and torrential rain.

Plus high temperatures causing major Heat Stress, could stimulate Severe Storms.

The highest number of days over 35 C for the first 6 months of the year on record.

NETHERLANDS –

Storm “Poly” according to the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute was the worst windstorm to strike the country in July.

Wind gusts of 145 kph in a narrow corridor from Ijmiuiden/Amsterdam/Houtribdijk; brought numerous trees down killing two people with one in Germany.

A code red warning was issued in Holland and a Level 3 red warning in Germany.

INDIA –

A searing heat wave killed at least 44 people in Bihar.

UK –

Has recorded its hottest June since records began in 1884.

A 988 hpa low west of Ireland threatens the western British Isles.

Headingley Cricket Test after a cloudy 19C the first day.

Sunny 25C Friday then a cloudy 21C with patchy rain Saturday.

Followed by a 21C cloudy day with late rain Sunday.

CANADA/USA –

WildFire smoke from 600 fires in Canada.

returned on the 4th July ( a smokey Independence Day) blotting out the skies and reaching into the Midwest and Northeast USA.

Meteorologist Joseph Bauer said the northerly winds could sustain smoke over the northern US into the middle of the month.

MEXICO –

Extreme temperatures topping 45C have killed 112 people since March.

At least 1559 people received medical treatment for heat related problems.

PLANET EARTH –

On Monday the average global temperature 17.01C was followed by 17.18C on Tuesday.

This record is expected to be broken more times this year.

Friederike Otto, Senior lecturer in Climate Science in the UK said it won’t be a record for long with the northern hemisphere summer ahead and El Nino developing.

FORECAST

Zonal winter westerlies across the Bight have fronts embedded in the stream.

Which brush the southern States. Blustery gale force winds, squally showers and cold maximums of 14-16C for the HAM triangle will make it feel less than 10C for the weekend. While the rest of Australia basks in winter it will be sunny with a large high entering WA and reaching Alice (1025hPa).

The ridge straddles most of the Tropic of Capricorn for the weekend.

That means cold nights with single figure minimums (Yeppoon 10C, Rocky 7C, Bilo 2C Sunday BR!BR!) for CQ.

Followed by warm sunny 23/24C days for the weekend races.

BOATIES watch for the WOW or Winter Offshore Winds.

Rather light inshore early yet cold SSW gusting 18-20 kts at night near GKI.

They ease with the sunshine and tend to see more South East – East or East-North East and light during the afternoon.

The coastal winds increase by late Tuesday as the SETW ramps up.

Gusts 20- 25 knots are possible with two metres seas for the middle of the week.

Chance of a coastal brief shower which might reach the Berserkers during the weekend.